Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000008 0.000009
2025-08-10 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000011
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-08-24 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018
2025-09-07 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021
2025-09-14 0.000003 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000024
2025-09-21 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000016 0.000027
2025-09-28 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031
2025-10-05 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000036
2025-10-12 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000011 0.000020 0.000042
2025-10-19 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000022 0.000048
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000024 0.000058
2025-11-02 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000026 0.000066
2025-11-09 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000028 0.000079
2025-11-16 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000029 0.000086
2025-11-23 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000031 0.000100
2025-11-30 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000034 0.000118
2025-12-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000014 0.000035 0.000129
2025-12-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000037 0.000146
2025-12-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000038 0.000166
2025-12-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000015 0.000042 0.000200
2026-01-04 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000047 0.000250